UK Inflation has risen sharply since the start of 2022 and dominates the media and politics today. It is now having knock on effects, most notably on wage rises which are lagging behind inflation. The aftermath of the COVID19 induced recession continues to be considerable economic uncertainty.
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Pay Gaps #27 – Don’t mention the Disability Pay Gap!
“I mentioned it once but I think I got away with it!”
Basil Fawlty didn’t get away with it in Torquay and neither did this manager.
HR Manager – “Our disability pay gap is zero which surprises me”
Me – “How many disabled employees do you have?”
My response sums up my view on Disability Pay Gap Reporting (DPGR). The manager commented on their pay gap whilst I queried their employment gap. As a statistician who happens to be disabled, I consider the conventional disability pay gap statistic to be at best irrelevant and at worse a lie.
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UK Economy Tracker #8 – 2022 Q1
Whilst COVID19 was ravaging the world in 2020 & 2021, I felt there was little point in updating my quarterly UK Economy Tracker. Now the pandemic over in the UK, it’s time to see how much damage the pandemic did to the economy. Going forward, the future is very uncertain but I hope by placing the latest data in the context of the past, I can discern what pointers I should keep an eye on.
Pay Gap Trends #5 – Has pay gap reporting narrowed the gender pay gap?
Disinterested employers were 20% less likely than engaged employers to have narrowed their UK gender pay gap between 2017 & 2021 . I draw this conclusion from a statistical model using ~6,000 employers which removed the effect of confounders such as size, sector, furlough, gender ratio, etc. Once accounted for, I found 61% of those reporting their pay gap for 2019 had narrowed their pay gap by 2021 compared to 55% of those not reporting 2019 data.
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All I want for Christmas is football!
Will there be any football this Christmas? The Omicron variant of COVID19 is wreaking havoc with football and rugby schedules and the traditional Boxing Day lineup is in danger of being cancelled. So what will football fans do instead? The good news is I am giving a Christmas present to all football supporter that is almost as good as the real thing. All you need are 2 packs of playing cards, a pen and paper or a spreadsheet and you can play a simple football simulation game which guarantees fun and excitement for all.
Pay Gaps #25A – House of Common’s debate on Ethnicity Pay Gaps – My thoughts
The UK Parliament debated Ethnicity Pay Gap Reporting (EPGR) on 20th September 2021 in Westminster Hall. Seven MPs spoke in the hour long debate and, as debates go, I thought it was actually quite good. There was cross party consensus on the merits of EPGR but I saw a divide between those who recognise EPGR is complex and requires trade offs and those who think the complexities of EPGR can be solved with government guidance.
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Pay Gap Trends #4 – Did the UK gender pay gap narrow in 2020?
This article was last updated using data submitted as of 4th September 2021.
In February 2021, the EHRC confirmed that all employers with a headcount of 250 employees or more would have to submit their gender pay gaps based on the 2020 snapshot date. Due to the lateness of this confirmation, they also stated that no enforcement action would be taken prior to the end of September 2021. As result, fewer employers than expected have reported 2020 data so far so I have used two methods of imputation to estimate that the median gender pay gap among these employers narrowed by 0.2 to 0.3 pence in the pound in 2020.
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Pay Gaps #22 – My 7 + 5 recommendations for amending UK pay gap legislation
When gender pay gap reporting was introduced by the government for the 2017 snapshot date for all employers with a headcount of 250 or more, it was made clear they would evaluate how the legislation had worked after 5 years. We are now in the 5th year of pay gap reporting and I would like to submit to the government 7 recommendations to improve the way employers’ data is reported and 5 recommendations to improve the data used in the calculations and to reduce various distortions.
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UK Weather Tracker #40 – May 2020
With the UK under unprecedented lockdown due to COVID19, the sunniest April on record was followed by the sunniest May on record. I can hear the conspiracy theorists now …
Coronavirus #1 – Useful Data and Links
Updated on 14th May 2020. New and modified links are italicised.
The Coronavirus Pandemic is a worldwide challenge many of us will have not experienced before. It is natural to want to seek information on the risks and in our world today, it has never been easier to find data, analyses and opinions. Unfortunately, a lot of what you will read out there is either unhelpful or actively misleading. As an independent statistician with 30 years experience of explaining statistics to non-statisticians, my contribution to this crisis will be to try and sort the good from the bad hence this post. [Read more…] about Coronavirus #1 – Useful Data and Links
