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Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

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Pay Gap Case Study #3- Will the BBC’s gender pay gap narrow after losing to Samira Ahmed?

February 13, 2020 By Nigel Marriott

The BBC presenter Samira Ahmed has won her claim for equal pay at the employment tribunal.  She successfully claimed that Jeremy Vine was an appropriate comparator for her pay.  She is not the only female presenter to make a claim with over 50 more claims under consideration at present.  Assuming that these are all successful, will these have any effect on the BBC’s gender pay gap for 2019 of 7p in the pound?

[Read more…] about Pay Gap Case Study #3- Will the BBC’s gender pay gap narrow after losing to Samira Ahmed?

Filed Under: Diversity Tagged With: Audit, BBC, Equal Pay, Gender Pay Gap, Median, Unequal Pay

UK General Election 2019 #2 – My forecast is the most accurate & beats the Exit Poll!

December 16, 2019 By Nigel Marriott

At 2200 on Thursday 12th December 2019, the BBC/ITV/Sky Exit Poll was revealed to the nation and pointed to a large majority for the Conservatives.  Unlike 2017, I was able to turn to my wife and say “it looks like I will be right this time!”  By the end of the night, Gavin Freeguard from the Institute of Government was tweeting that not only was I the most accurate election forecaster of 2019, I was more accurate than the Exit Poll.

[Read more…] about UK General Election 2019 #2 – My forecast is the most accurate & beats the Exit Poll!

Filed Under: Elections, Featured blog, Forecasting Tagged With: BBC, Brexit, Election forecasting, Exit poll, Forecasting model, GE2019, general election 2019, ITV, John Curtice, Politics, Seat forecast, Sky

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Pay Gap Trends #9 – Employer Gender Pay Gaps in 2025 – The Numbers

The deadline for employers to submit their 2025 gender pay gap data has now passed.  So what do the … [Read More...] about Pay Gap Trends #9 – Employer Gender Pay Gaps in 2025 – The Numbers

Pay Gap Data #9 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2025?

The government requires nearly all employers with a headcount of 250 or more on their snapshot date … [Read More...] about Pay Gap Data #9 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2025?

UK Weather Tracker #110 – March 2026

The UK weather in March was the 10th warmest on record but otherwise unremarkable. … [Read More...] about UK Weather Tracker #110 – March 2026

UK Weather Trends #40 – Winter 2026

Winter 2026 in the UK was warmer, wetter and darker than normal but not the extent I expected given … [Read More...] about UK Weather Trends #40 – Winter 2026

UK Weather Tracker #109 – February 2026

The UK weather in February was warm, wet and dark for this time of year.  We also had the 2nd lowest … [Read More...] about UK Weather Tracker #109 – February 2026

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