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Forecasting #3 – How Accurate are My Election Forecasts?
A good forecaster should always provide an easily accessible list of forecasts made, how the forecast was arrived at and how accurate it ended up being. At long last, here is my election forecasting track record updated with the 2024 UK General … [Read More...] about Forecasting #3 – How Accurate are My Election Forecasts?
UK Local Elections #2C – 2025 West England Mayoral Election – Review of My Forecast
Labour have retained the West of England Combined Authority (WECA) Mayoralty As I predicted, the contest was won with less than a … [Read More...] about UK Local Elections #2C – 2025 West England Mayoral Election – Review of My Forecast
UK Weather Tracker #99 – April 2025
April 2025 was the sunniest April on record in the UK. It beat the previous record set in 2021 which in turn beat the record set … [Read More...] about UK Weather Tracker #99 – April 2025
UK Local Elections #2B – 2025 West England Mayoral Election – My Final Forecast
The West England Combined Authority (WECA) Metro Mayor election of 2025 will probably be won with less than a quarter of all votes … [Read More...] about UK Local Elections #2B – 2025 West England Mayoral Election – My Final Forecast
Featured blogs
Pay Gaps #22 – My 7 + 5 recommendations for amending UK pay gap legislation
When gender pay gap reporting was introduced by the government for the 2017 snapshot date for all employers with a headcount of 250 or more, it was … [Read More...] about Pay Gaps #22 – My 7 + 5 recommendations for amending UK pay gap legislation
UK General Election 2019 #2 – My forecast is the most accurate & beats the Exit Poll!
At 2200 on Thursday 12th December 2019, the BBC/ITV/Sky Exit Poll was revealed to the nation and pointed to a large majority for the Conservatives. … [Read More...] about UK General Election 2019 #2 – My forecast is the most accurate & beats the Exit Poll!
Pay Gaps #8 – My Evidence to the Treasury Select Committee
On June 5th 2019, I had the privilege of being able to talk to the Treasury Select Committee about the "Effectiveness of Gender Pay Gap Reporting". … [Read More...] about Pay Gaps #8 – My Evidence to the Treasury Select Committee
Forecasting#1 – How do you identify a good forecaster?
“I think the people in this country have had enough of experts” Michael Gove, Sky News, 3rd June 2016 This was one of the most memorable quotes … [Read More...] about Forecasting#1 – How do you identify a good forecaster?
