News
UK Weather Tracker #35 – December 2019
The weather in the UK for December 2019 was completely unremarkable in all respects, yet again. Let's hope 2020 is more interesting! … [Read More...] about UK Weather Tracker #35 – December 2019
UK General Elections #4 – How accurate are voting intention polls? – updated with GE19
After 3 general elections with severe polling errors, the UK opinion pollsters redeemed themselves in the 2019 UK General Election … [Read More...] about UK General Elections #4 – How accurate are voting intention polls? – updated with GE19
UK General Election 2019 #2 – My forecast is the most accurate & beats the Exit Poll!
At 2200 on Thursday 12th December 2019, the BBC/ITV/Sky Exit Poll was revealed to the nation and pointed to a large majority for … [Read More...] about UK General Election 2019 #2 – My forecast is the most accurate & beats the Exit Poll!
UK General Election 2019 #1 – My Official Forecast
My forecast for the 2019 UK General Election this Thursday is that the Conservatives will win a majority of 72 seats. The margin … [Read More...] about UK General Election 2019 #1 – My Official Forecast
Featured blogs
UK Weather Tracker #35 – December 2019
The weather in the UK for December 2019 was completely unremarkable in all respects, yet again. Let's hope 2020 is more interesting! … [Read More...] about UK Weather Tracker #35 – December 2019
UK General Election 2019 #2 – My forecast is the most accurate & beats the Exit Poll!
At 2200 on Thursday 12th December 2019, the BBC/ITV/Sky Exit Poll was revealed to the nation and pointed to a large majority for the Conservatives. … [Read More...] about UK General Election 2019 #2 – My forecast is the most accurate & beats the Exit Poll!
Pay Gaps #8 – My Evidence to the Treasury Select Committee
On June 5th 2019, I had the privilege of being able to talk to the Treasury Select Committee about the "Effectiveness of Gender Pay Gap Reporting". … [Read More...] about Pay Gaps #8 – My Evidence to the Treasury Select Committee
Forecasting#1 – How do you identify a good forecaster?
“I think the people in this country have had enough of experts” Michael Gove, Sky News, 3rd June 2016 This was one of the most memorable quotes … [Read More...] about Forecasting#1 – How do you identify a good forecaster?
