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Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

You are here: Home / Archives for EPL 2017/18

EPL 2017/18 #5 – My Prediction of the Final League Table – Round 36

April 28, 2018 By Nigel

With only 3 or 4 games to go for the teams of the Premier League, most of the season’s excitement has dissipated.  Man City have wrapped up the title, the top 7 who will be playing in Europe next season is more or less settled and the former 10-team dogfight for relegation has resolved itself with a 4 point gap between the bottom 3 and the rest.  Probably, the only remaining uncertainties are who will take 4th place (Spurs or Chelsea) and will Southampton escape relegation at the expense of Swansea?

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Filed Under: Forecasting, Sport Tagged With: EPL, EPL 2017/18, Football, Forecasts, Premier League, Sport Analytics

EPL 2017/18 #4 – My Prediction of the Final League Table – Round 33

April 6, 2018 By Nigel

After many weeks of a relegation dogfight involving up to 10 teams, it now appears that an exciting finish to the 2018 EPL season is becoming less likely as a gap opens up between the bottom 3 and the rest.  After 34 matches, another gap is opening up between the 4 prediction methods I use and one method so far has a 74% success rate in predicting the match outcome.

[Read more…] about EPL 2017/18 #4 – My Prediction of the Final League Table – Round 33

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: EPL, EPL 2017/18, Football, Forecasts, Premier League, Sport Analytics

EPL 2017/18 #3 – My Prediction of the Final League Table – Round 30

March 9, 2018 By Nigel

My first published attempt to predict the outcomes of Premier League matches got off to a good start last week with 23% of my predictions getting the right scoreline and 52% getting the right outcome.  I have updated my prediction of the final league which continues to point to an incredibly tight relegation battle, especially for my team Newcastle United.

[Read more…] about EPL 2017/18 #3 – My Prediction of the Final League Table – Round 30

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: EPL, EPL 2017/18, Football, Forecasts, Premier League, Sport Analytics

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