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Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

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UK Weather Trends #34 – Annual Temperatures in 2024

January 7, 2025 By Nigel

The 2024 calendar year was the 4th hottest year on record in the UK.  Last year, I used a Control Chart to conclude “a step change upwards (in UK temperatures) has taken place but the pace of change is not yet clear“.  I am now less confident in my conclusion after updating with 2024 data, especially when I look at temperature trends based on the meteorological year of December to November instead.

[Read more…] about UK Weather Trends #34 – Annual Temperatures in 2024

Filed Under: Weather Tagged With: SPC, Statistical Process Control, t-test, temperature, trend analysis, Weather, weather trends

UK Weather Trends #29 – Annual Temperatures in 2023

January 4, 2024 By Nigel

The 2023 calendar year was the 2nd hottest year on record in the UK just behind the hottest year ever in 2022.  Last year, I showed how a technique known as a Control Chart could be used to decide if the UK is now in a new warming trend and after adding 2023, my answer is now “a step change upwards has taken place but the pace of change is not yet clear“.

[Read more…] about UK Weather Trends #29 – Annual Temperatures in 2023

Filed Under: Weather Tagged With: SPC, Statistical Process Control, t-test, temperature, trend analysis, Weather, weather trends

UK Weather Trends #24 – Annual Temperatures in 2022

January 3, 2023 By Nigel

The 2022 calendar year was the hottest year on record in the UK beating the previous high recorded in 2014.  Does that mean that the UK is starting a new warming phase?  Using a technique known as a Control Chart, I show the answer is “Not Yet“.

[Read more…] about UK Weather Trends #24 – Annual Temperatures in 2022

Filed Under: Weather Tagged With: SPC, Statistical Process Control, t-test, temperature, trend analysis, Weather, weather trends

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