Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

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Pay Gap Trends #5 – Has pay gap reporting narrowed the gender pay gap?

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Disinterested employers were nearly 20% less likely than engaged employers to have narrowed their UK gender pay gap between 2017 & 2021 .  I draw this conclusion from a statistical model using ~6,000 employers which removed the effect of confounders such as size, sector, furlough, gender ratio, etc.  Once accounted for, I found 61% of those reporting their pay gap for 2019 had narrowed their pay gap by 2021 compared to 55% of those not reporting 2019 data.

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Pay Gap Trends #4 – Did the UK gender pay gap narrow in 2020?

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This article was last updated using data submitted as of 4th September 2021.

In February 2021, the EHRC confirmed that all employers with a headcount of 250 employees or more would have to submit their gender pay gaps based on the 2020 snapshot date.  Due to the lateness of this confirmation, they also stated that no enforcement action would be taken prior to the end of September 2021.  As result, fewer employers than expected have reported 2020 data so far so I have used two methods of imputation to estimate that the median gender pay gap among these employers narrowed by 0.2 to 0.3 pence in the pound in 2020.

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COVID19 Cases #1 – Latest Data and Trends for England

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Last updated on 27th September 2020 but downloadable spreadsheet in section 3a was updated on 19th October 2020.  I will update the post when I get the time!

The latest data for COVID19 (Coronavirus) cases in England as of Saturday 26th September 2020 shows the number of people testing positive for COVID19 is up 60% from a week ago but this masks extreme regional disparities that make the national trend meaningless.  The North is in the grip of a second wave unlike the South which is not.  Unless recent trends in the North abate, the scenario of 50k positive tests per day by the end of October recently postulated by the Chief Scientific Officer remains feasible.

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