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Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

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EU Election 2019 #1 – How many MEPs will each party win?

May 21, 2019 By Nigel

Here is my forecast for the election that was not supposed to be happening in the UK.  The Brexit Party is well on course to be the largest party and could even set the record for the best ever vote share by a party in the d’Hondt era of EU elections in the UK.  At the same time, the Liberal Democrats have the possibility of beating both the Conservatives and Labour parties in a UK-wide election for the first time since 1906.

[Read more…] about EU Election 2019 #1 – How many MEPs will each party win?

Filed Under: Elections, Forecasting Tagged With: Election forecasting, EU Election 2019, EU Referendum, Forecasting model, Politics

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