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Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

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Coronavirus #2 – What sample size does Boris need to lift all restrictions?

April 2, 2020 By Nigel

April Fools day 2020 saw the hive mind of social media asking what the sample size should be to measure the extent of the Coronavirus in the UK.  I could see that many people responding were reaching for standard methodologies which are usually are based on specifying a desired confidence interval.  In doing so, they were overlooking a much more effective and relevant alternative based on the methodology of Acceptance Sampling, first developed by the US Military in World War 2.

[Read more…] about Coronavirus #2 – What sample size does Boris need to lift all restrictions?

Filed Under: Misc, Polling Tagged With: Acceptance Sampling, Bayes rule, Binomial Distribution, Coronavirus, Covid19, Probability, Sample size, Statistical Training

Stats Training Materials – Sampling & Surveys

July 17, 2019 By Nigel

The core expertise that Statisticians offer to the world is drawing conclusions from small samples.  Therefore, knowing how to design surveys, estimate the right sample size, decide on the right way to ask the question or measure a property are all essential skills for any statistical thinker.  The skills you need to be competent in Sampling & Surveys are best captured by my Survey Wheel.

[Read more…] about Stats Training Materials – Sampling & Surveys

Filed Under: Stats Training Tagged With: data quality, Measurement Error, Opinion Polls, Polling, Sample size, Sampling, Segmentation, Surveys

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