The start of the new meteorological year was warm with normal rainfall.
Meteorologists define autumn in the UK to be the period from September to November so autumn is now over and we are officially in winter. The 2018 autumn was consistent with the step change in the autumnal climate that took place in the 1990s.
There is no subtle way to say this, our weather in November was boring!
The headline of the third quarter of 2018 is that the UK continues to be sluggish but going in the right direction. There is no question, the economy needs a pickup soon to place itself on a stronger footing ahead of a rising probability of another recession in the near future.
A sunny October resulted in wide temperature ranges leading to cold nights and the first frosts of the autumn.
I thought August was unremarkable but September was even more boring!
Meteorologists define summer in the UK to be the period from June to August so summer is now over and we are officially in autumn. The 2018 summer was the joint hottest on record and in doing so blew apart my prediction that we would have to wait till next year for our next good summer!
The headline of the second quarter of 2018 is the lowest unemployment rate since 1975. Economic Inactivity continues to be at record lows, inflation is falling and the budget deficit is shrinking. However, GDP growth continues to be sluggish which means our pay is stagnating and we have record levels of debt to pay off. History tells us that the odds of another recession soon will rise from now on so there is still a need to change the state of our economy.
After 3 months of hot, dry and sunny weather, the UK returned to normal in August with a completely unremarkable month.
The UK is on course for its best summer since 2006 following a hot, dry and bright July.