Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

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Voice Referendum #2 – My Forecast Reviewed

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Australians rejected the proposed constitutional amendment known as The Voice in a referendum on 14th October 2023.  NO won the national vote by 20.1 percentage points and the state count 6-0 but the more important question is was my forecast right?

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Voice Referendum #1 – My Forecast Explained

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Australians will reject the proposed constitutional amendment known as The Voice in a referendum on 14th October 2023.  My forecast is for NO to win the national vote by 17 percentage points and win the state count 6-0.

This article was first published on 11th October 2023.  My forecast then was for NO to win 16 points and the state count 6-0.

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