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Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

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Pay Gap Case Study #6 – How Rishi Sunak became Prime Minister

November 11, 2022 By Nigel

Rishi Sunak is the UK’s first Prime Minister from a non-white ethnic minority. Did this happen by accident or were the Tories working towards this day over the last 20 years?

A recent article in the Sydney Morning Herald by an Australian journalist Latika Burke argues it was the latter. This is well worth reading because it goes into some depth about what the Conservatives did to get to this position.  When I combine this article with what I have said before about closing pay and representation gaps, I consider the Conservative party to be a valuable case study for any employer who wishes to close their gaps.

[Read more…] about Pay Gap Case Study #6 – How Rishi Sunak became Prime Minister

Filed Under: Diversity, Elections Tagged With: Conservative, Ethnicity Pay Gap, Gender Pay Gap, MPs, Parliament, Prime Minister, Representation Gap

Pay Gaps #25B – House of Lords’s debate on Ethnicity Pay Gaps – My thoughts

November 9, 2021 By Nigel

Is pay gap reporting about transparency or accountability?  This was the main theme of the House of Lords debate on Ethnicity Pay Gap Reporting (EPGR) on 25th October 2021, unlike the Commons debate that preceded it in September.  The 9 peers who spoke could be split between those who see EPGR as an exercise in employer transparency and those who see EPGR as an exercise in employer accountability and I consider this to be a fundamental question that has not yet been answered.  In this article, I will discuss the implications of both answers to this question for any future EPGR legislation.

[Read more…] about Pay Gaps #25B – House of Lords’s debate on Ethnicity Pay Gaps – My thoughts

Filed Under: Diversity Tagged With: basic statistics, Data journalism, Ethnicity, Ethnicity Pay Gap, Evidence, non-statisticians, Parliament, Pay Gaps, statistical inference

Pay Gaps #25A – House of Common’s debate on Ethnicity Pay Gaps – My thoughts

September 27, 2021 By Nigel

The UK Parliament debated Ethnicity Pay Gap Reporting (EPGR) on 20th September 2021 in Westminster Hall.  Seven MPs spoke in the hour long debate and, as debates go, I thought it was actually quite good.  There was cross party consensus on the merits of EPGR but I saw a divide between those who recognise EPGR is complex and requires trade offs and those who think the complexities of EPGR can be solved with government guidance.

 

[Read more…] about Pay Gaps #25A – House of Common’s debate on Ethnicity Pay Gaps – My thoughts

Filed Under: Diversity Tagged With: basic statistics, Data journalism, Ethnicity, Ethnicity Pay Gap, Evidence, non-statisticians, Parliament, Pay Gaps, statistical inference

Pay Gaps #24 – Briefing Note for Parliament’s debate on Ethnicity Pay Gaps

September 14, 2021 By Nigel

The UK Parliament is about to debate whether or not ethnicity pay gap reporting (EPGR) by UK employers should be made mandatory.  The debate will start at 4.30pm on Monday 20th September 2021 and is a result of an e-petition reaching the threshold to require a parliamentary debate.  To assist MPs, journalists, campaigners and anyone else interested in this debate, I have written a briefing note which lists 9 key points that need to be addressed during the debate.

Update 20th September – The Parliament TV link is here and my live-tweet thread is here.

[Read more…] about Pay Gaps #24 – Briefing Note for Parliament’s debate on Ethnicity Pay Gaps

Filed Under: Diversity Tagged With: Briefing Note, Ethnicity, Ethnicity Pay Gap, Evidence, Parliament, Pay Gaps

UK General Elections #6 – Keir Starmer’s train to Downing Street

March 21, 2021 By Nigel

Keir Starmer has to match what Clement Attlee did in 1945 and beat what Tony Blair did in 1997 if he wants to form a Labour government at the next election.  To arrive at Downing Street by the end of 2024, Starmer must get his party to board an InterCity 125 train and spend the next 3 years following the tracks I lay out in this article.  As I will show, whichever track they take has to go through 125 English Conservative seats, most of which are in between cities.  Hence InterCity 125 becomes the easy to remember name of Labour’s list of target seats.

[Read more…] about UK General Elections #6 – Keir Starmer’s train to Downing Street

Filed Under: Elections Tagged With: Boundary review, Brexit, Conservative, elections, EU Referendum, General Election 2024, Labour, Lib Dems, Majority, Parliament, Politics, SNP, Swing, Tories

Pay Gaps #18 – 10 quick and easy ways to close your gender pay gap!

November 15, 2020 By Nigel

You’ve just calculated your latest gender pay gap.  With a sigh, you note that it is still large and at current rate of progress, it will take you 30 years to close it.  Surely there must be a quicker and easier way to eliminate your pay gap?  The good news is that if you use the 10 tools of Creative Pay Gapping, you can eliminate your pay gap tomorrow!

[Read more…] about Pay Gaps #18 – 10 quick and easy ways to close your gender pay gap!

Filed Under: Diversity Tagged With: ACAS, Creative Pay Gapping, EHRC, gaming, Gender Pay Gap, GEO, Parliament, Presenting data

Pay Gaps #8 – My Evidence to the Treasury Select Committee

June 8, 2019 By Nigel

On June 5th 2019, I had the privilege of being able to talk to the Treasury Select Committee about the “Effectiveness of Gender Pay Gap Reporting“.  My name was put forward by the Royal Statistical Society and we spent an hour discussing a number of issues with a particular focus on the Finance sector.

[Read more…] about Pay Gaps #8 – My Evidence to the Treasury Select Committee

Filed Under: Diversity, Featured blog Tagged With: Evidence, Gender Pay Gap, Parliament, Statistical Training

EU Referendum #6 – Find your way out of the Brexit maze in 9 Days!

March 20, 2019 By Nigel

Theresa May has just asked the EU Council for a 3 month extension to Article 50, the Speaker won’t allow another meaningful vote without meaningful changes, Jeremy Corbyn is pondering backing another referendum and in 9 days time, the UK could be leaving the EU without a deal.  Just another week in the Parliamentary Brexit Maze but I have updated my Brexit Voting Factions after last week’s votes and identified an 8th faction for you to play with in your voting permutations.
[Read more…] about EU Referendum #6 – Find your way out of the Brexit maze in 9 Days!

Filed Under: Elections Tagged With: Brexit, EU Referendum, Parliament, Politics, Segmentation

EU Referendum #5 – Find your way out of the Brexit maze in 16 Days!

March 12, 2019 By Nigel

*** This post is not yet complete.  However you will find a link to the data near the bottom and a link to a twitter thread for some of the images ***

Within the next 10 days, the House of Commons will get a second Meaningful Vote on the Withdrawal Agreement which could be followed by 2 more significant votes on No-Deal and Article 50 Extension.  I have been tracking how MPs have voted on the first Meaningful Vote and subsequent Amendments which I summarised in two posts “Find your way out of the Brexit Maze in 57 days and 43 days.”  Following further amendments at the end of February and with no more amendments planned before the next meaningful vote, I have redone my cluster analysis to predict what the outcome of these votes might be.  As far as possible, I am trying to base my predictions on what MPs have done rather than what they say but I will compare my analysis with that of Election Maps who have been tracking MP’s statements.
[Read more…] about EU Referendum #5 – Find your way out of the Brexit maze in 16 Days!

Filed Under: Elections Tagged With: Brexit, EU Referendum, Parliament, Politics, Segmentation

EU Referendum #4 – Find your way out of the Brexit maze in 43 Days!

February 15, 2019 By Nigel

Rather than celebrating love on Valentine’s day, Parliament chose to use the occasion to emphasise their discord over the EU withdrawal process, 43 days before the UK is due to leave the EU.  Three amendments were voted on and this allows me to update my Brexit voting blocks which I first described in “Find your way out of the Brexit maze in 57 days!”.

This post was updated on 22nd February 2019 to take into account the resignations of 9 MPs from the Labour party. and 3 MPs from the Conservative party.

[Read more…] about EU Referendum #4 – Find your way out of the Brexit maze in 43 Days!

Filed Under: Elections Tagged With: Brexit, EU Referendum, Parliament, Politics, Segmentation

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