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Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

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UK Weather Tracker #88 – May 2024

June 4, 2024 By Nigel Marriott

This was the warmest May on record in the UK which surprised me at first when I saw the data.  Then I saw that where I live (in the South West), it was the 3rd warmest but everywhere else in the UK set a new record.  Notably, the new temperature record was set despite below average sunshine and normal rainfall which may be another reason why I was surprised by the new temperature record.  Finally, as I pointed out in June last year, statistically the previous record looked artificially low relative to the upper decile so a new record is perhaps not that great a surprise.
[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #88 – May 2024

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

UK Weather Tracker #87 – April 2024

May 5, 2024 By Nigel Marriott

The weather in the UK in April 2024 was abnormal but not in the way I thought.  My wife and I ended the month with stinking colds so surely it was a colder April than but no, the Met Office insists it was above.  It was noticeably darker and wetter than normal with this April being the 6th wettest on record.
[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #87 – April 2024

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

UK Weather Tracker #86 – March 2024

April 7, 2024 By Nigel Marriott

It was warmer than normal in the UK in March 2024 but otherwise the weather was unremarkable.
[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #86 – March 2024

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

UK Weather Trends #30 – Winter 2024

March 3, 2024 By Nigel Marriott

Winter 2024 in the UK was the 5th sunniest & 8th wettest on record.  A year ago I postulated UK winters were entering a new era of being warm, wet & sunny.  I am now certain this is the case and my favoured hypothesis is that our winters are following a steady trend which began in the early 1980s.

[Read more…] about UK Weather Trends #30 – Winter 2024

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: multivariate data, Presenting data, principal components analysis, standardisation, trend analysis, Weather, weather trends, z-scores

UK Weather Tracker #85 – February 2024

March 3, 2024 By Nigel Marriott

Did you enjoy the 2nd warmest February on record?  Probably not as you may have been dealing with the 8th wettest February on record in the UK instead which in the South was actually the wettest on record.
[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #85 – February 2024

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

UK Weather Tracker #84 – January 2024

February 3, 2024 By Nigel Marriott

Did you enjoy the 6th sunniest January on record?  Probably not as you may have been dealing with the 9th stormiest January on record in the UK instead.
[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #84 – January 2024

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

UK Weather Trends #29 – Annual Temperatures in 2023

January 4, 2024 By Nigel Marriott

The 2023 calendar year was the 2nd hottest year on record in the UK just behind the hottest year ever in 2022.  Last year, I showed how a technique known as a Control Chart could be used to decide if the UK is now in a new warming trend and after adding 2023, my answer is now “a step change upwards has taken place but the pace of change is not yet clear“.

[Read more…] about UK Weather Trends #29 – Annual Temperatures in 2023

Filed Under: Weather Tagged With: SPC, Statistical Process Control, t-test, temperature, trend analysis, Weather, weather trends

UK Weather Tracker #83 – December 2023

January 4, 2024 By Nigel Marriott

The 2024 meteorological year began with a warm, wet, dark & stormy December that combine to create the 4th most abnormal December on record.
[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #83 – December 2023

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

UK Weather Trends #28 – Autumn 2023

December 4, 2023 By Nigel Marriott

The UK autumn in 2023 was the 6th warmest on record and consistent with the step change in autumnal climate seen 25 years ago.

[Read more…] about UK Weather Trends #28 – Autumn 2023

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: multivariate data, Presenting data, principal components analysis, standardisation, trend analysis, Weather, weather trends, z-scores

UK Weather Tracker #82 – November 2023

December 4, 2023 By Nigel Marriott

It might have ended with a cold snap but on every metric, November 2023 in the UK was as average as it was possible to be!
[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #82 – November 2023

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

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