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Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

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Electoral Trends #1 – The Fragmentation of the West

December 5, 2025 By Nigel Marriott

Last month’s General Election in The Netherlands was won by a party with less than 17% of the national vote.  Dutch voters, politicians and pundits are now discussing what this means for a governing coalition which is likely to take a number of months complete.  For myself, the election was yet another data point showing the fragmentation of the electorate in the West is the key trend over the last 40 years.  As yet, there is no sign of this trend coming to an end and what the future holds I cannot tell.

[Read more…] about Electoral Trends #1 – The Fragmentation of the West

Filed Under: Elections, Forecasting Tagged With: Australia, Election forecasting, election system, elections, Fragmentation, Germany, Ireland, Netherlands, Sweden, trend analysis, UK

COVID19 Summary #1 – Is the UK an outlier internationally?

July 12, 2021 By Nigel Marriott

The COVID19 pandemic is not yet over but with vaccinations starting to ramp up worldwide, an end may be in sight.  At that point, an in-depth comparison of countries is likely to take place.  To get ahead of that debate with the respect to the UK, I have been comparing the UK’s COVID19 statistics with a number of countries to see how much of an outlier the UK has been.

[Read more…] about COVID19 Summary #1 – Is the UK an outlier internationally?

Filed Under: Misc Tagged With: Comparing data, Coronavirus, Covid19, International, OWID, Pandemic, Presenting data, SARS-COV-2, UK

COVID19 Cases #2 – Is the UK an outlier internationally?

March 7, 2021 By Nigel Marriott

An unfortunate side effect of COVID19 has been ugly political debates over the best way to tackle the pandemic.  Often politicians will claim because country X does this, the UK should be doing it as well.  I decided it was time to do a proper comparison of the UK with other countries to see what extent the UK is an outlier and whether there are some countries we should be using as templates.

[Read more…] about COVID19 Cases #2 – Is the UK an outlier internationally?

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Comparing data, Coronavirus, Covid19, International, OWID, Pandemic, Presenting data, SARS-COV-2, UK

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Pay Gap Trends #9 – Employer Gender Pay Gaps in 2025 – The Numbers

The deadline for employers to submit their 2025 gender pay gap data has now passed.  So what do the … [Read More...] about Pay Gap Trends #9 – Employer Gender Pay Gaps in 2025 – The Numbers

Pay Gap Data #9 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2025?

The government requires nearly all employers with a headcount of 250 or more on their snapshot date … [Read More...] about Pay Gap Data #9 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2025?

UK Weather Tracker #110 – March 2026

The UK weather in March was the 10th warmest on record but otherwise unremarkable. … [Read More...] about UK Weather Tracker #110 – March 2026

UK Weather Trends #40 – Winter 2026

Winter 2026 in the UK was warmer, wetter and darker than normal but not the extent I expected given … [Read More...] about UK Weather Trends #40 – Winter 2026

UK Weather Tracker #109 – February 2026

The UK weather in February was warm, wet and dark for this time of year.  We also had the 2nd lowest … [Read More...] about UK Weather Tracker #109 – February 2026

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