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Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

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Electoral Trends #1 – The Fragmentation of the West

December 5, 2025 By Nigel Marriott

Last month’s General Election in The Netherlands was won by a party with less than 17% of the national vote.  Dutch voters, politicians and pundits are now discussing what this means for a governing coalition which is likely to take a number of months complete.  For myself, the election was yet another data point showing the fragmentation of the electorate in the West is the key trend over the last 40 years.  As yet, there is no sign of this trend coming to an end and what the future holds I cannot tell.

[Read more…] about Electoral Trends #1 – The Fragmentation of the West

Filed Under: Elections, Forecasting Tagged With: Australia, Election forecasting, election system, elections, Fragmentation, Germany, Ireland, Netherlands, Sweden, trend analysis, UK

6 Nations History #4 – The men’s story so far in 2024

March 17, 2024 By Nigel Marriott

The 2024 Six Nations (Men’s) ended with Ireland just missing out on a 2nd successive Grand Slam due to a last minute drop goal.  Italy recorded their best ever 6 Nations and left Wales with the wooden spoon for the 2nd time ever.  France, England and Scotland recorded plusses and minuses during their campaigns and all 3 nations will be seeking to go one better in 2025.

[Read more…] about 6 Nations History #4 – The men’s story so far in 2024

Filed Under: Sport Tagged With: 6 Nations, Data journalism, England, France, Ireland, Italy, Rugby, Scotland, Sport Analytics, Trackers, Wales

6 Nations History #3 – The men’s story so far in 2023

March 24, 2023 By Nigel Marriott

The 2023 Six Nations (Men’s) ended with Ireland beating England to win their 3rd 6 Nations Grand Slam in the last 15 years.  France ran them close and Scotland recorded their 1st top 3 placing since 2018.  England & Wales disappointed their fans whilst Italy have some grounds for optimism despite their wooden spoon.

[Read more…] about 6 Nations History #3 – The men’s story so far in 2023

Filed Under: Sport Tagged With: 6 Nations, Data journalism, England, France, Ireland, Italy, Rugby, Scotland, Sport Analytics, Trackers, Wales

6 Nations History #2 – The men’s story so far in 2022

March 26, 2022 By Nigel Marriott

The 2022 Six Nations (Men’s) ended with France beating England to win their 1st Grand Slam and 6 Nations title since 2010.  Ireland ran them close scoring 24 tries in all (joint 2nd highest on record) and Italy won their 1st game in 36 matches in dramatic fashion in Cardiff.  England, Wales and Scotland all disappointed their fans and have questions to answer.

[Read more…] about 6 Nations History #2 – The men’s story so far in 2022

Filed Under: Sport Tagged With: 6 Nations, Data journalism, England, France, Ireland, Italy, Rugby, Scotland, Sport Analytics, Trackers, Wales

6 Nations History #1 – The men’s story so far in 2021

March 27, 2021 By Nigel Marriott

The 2021 Six Nations (Men’s) ended with Wales winning the title after Scotland beat France in Paris to snuff out France’s attempt to win the title for the first time since 2010.  Wales let a Grand Slam slip after conceding a try in injury time and as an England fan who was there at Wembley in 1999 I know exactly how the Welsh feel!

[Read more…] about 6 Nations History #1 – The men’s story so far in 2021

Filed Under: Sport Tagged With: 6 Nations, Data journalism, England, France, Ireland, Italy, Rugby, Scotland, Sport Analytics, Trackers, Wales

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UK Weather Trends #40 – Winter 2026

Winter 2026 in the UK was warmer, wetter and darker than normal but not the extent I expected given … [Read More...] about UK Weather Trends #40 – Winter 2026

UK Weather Tracker #109 – February 2026

The UK weather in February was warm, wet and dark for this time of year.  We also had the 2nd lowest … [Read More...] about UK Weather Tracker #109 – February 2026

Pay Gap Data #9 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2025?

This post was updated on 3rd February 2026.  The next update is planned for March 2026. The … [Read More...] about Pay Gap Data #9 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2025?

UK Weather Tracker #108 – January 2026

The 2026 calendar year in the UK began with a wetter January than usual but otherwise the weather in … [Read More...] about UK Weather Tracker #108 – January 2026

UK Weather Trends #39 – Annual Temperatures in 2025

The year 2025 was both the hottest and 2nd hottest year on record in the UK.  Last year, I used a … [Read More...] about UK Weather Trends #39 – Annual Temperatures in 2025

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