Today, the UK votes in its 3rd general election in less than 5 years. After serious polling errors in the last 3 general elections, it is understandable that everyone is taking the latest figures with a lot of salt. As it stands today, the polls are telling us that the Conservatives recovered their 2017 standing but Labour are still behind their 2017 performance.
UK Opinion Poll Tracker #16 – December 2019
Next Thursday, the UK will vote in its 3rd general election in less than 5 years. After serious polling errors in the last 3 general elections, it is understandable that everyone is taking the latest figures with a lot of salt. As it stands today, the polls are telling us that the Conservatives have more or less recovered their 2017 standing but Labour are still behind their 2017 performance.
[Read more…] about UK Opinion Poll Tracker #16 – December 2019
UK Opinion Poll Tracker #15 – November 2019
In two weeks time, the UK will vote in its 3rd general election in less than 5 years. After serious polling errors in the last 3 general elections, it is understandable that everyone is taking the latest figures with a lot of salt. As it stands today, the polls are telling us that the Conservatives have more or less recovered their 2017 standing but Labour is still a long way from repeating their 2017 performance.
[Read more…] about UK Opinion Poll Tracker #15 – November 2019
UK Opinion Poll Tracker #14 – February 2019
After 12 months of essentially static polls despite the news being dominated by Brexit, Labour has experienced a significant worsening of their position and the Conservatives have opened up a lead over Labour that would give them a majority in parliament. Words of caution are being uttered about the extent of the Tory lead since one pollster is notably out of step with all other pollsters.
[Read more…] about UK Opinion Poll Tracker #14 – February 2019
UK Opinion Poll Tracker #13 – December 2018
The Conservatives have lost their lead over Labour but despite the parliamentary turmoil over Brexit in December, the polls do not show much movement in the grand scheme of things.
[Read more…] about UK Opinion Poll Tracker #13 – December 2018
UK Opinion Poll Tracker #12 – October 2018
Here is a long overdue update of my UK opinion poll tracker and in this post, I going to take a closer look at the key trends over the last 12 months.
[Read more…] about UK Opinion Poll Tracker #12 – October 2018
UK Opinion Poll Tracker #11 – March 2018
For my latest Opinion Poll Tracker, I will explore 4 points currently being debated by political pundits.
- Have the Conservatives taken the lead in the polls?
- How much weight should we give to Survation polls who were the most accurate in 2017 and are the outlier poll today?
- Was there a “Youthquake” in the 2017 general election?
- What would the effect be of allowing 16 & 17 year olds to vote in general elections?
UK Opinion Poll Tracker #10 – January 2018
Labour continues to hold a small lead over the Conservatives at the start of 2018. Little has changed from the end of 2017.
[Read more…] about UK Opinion Poll Tracker #10 – January 2018
UK Opinion Poll Tracker #9 – December 2017
Labour continues to hold a small lead over the Conservatives as the nation entered the Christmas holidays. There is evidence of some voter movement towards UKIP which indicates that their true national level is around 4% or 5% and their General Election performance was distorted by so many of their candidates standing down.
[Read more…] about UK Opinion Poll Tracker #9 – December 2017
UK Opinion Poll Tracker #8 – November 2017
Labour’s 2 point lead over the Conservatives disappeared during November and they now hold a very slight lead. There is evidence of some voter movement towards UKIP which indicates that their true national level is around 4% or 5% and their General Election performance was distorted by so many of their candidates standing down.
[Read more…] about UK Opinion Poll Tracker #8 – November 2017
