Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

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Pay Gaps #16 – Eliminate your gender pay gap by playing Blackjack!

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Imagine where you work, the median women earns 33% less than the median man.  Although your workplace is gender balanced with 50:50 men:women, the pay gap exists because 1 in 4 of managers and 3 in 4 of the lowest paid admin staff are women.  How long will it take for the pay gap to disappear assuming that all future recruitment at all levels have 50:50 candidate pools with men and women equally likely to be appointed to the role?

Up to 25 years i.e. a generation

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COVID19 Deaths #2 – Are Public Health England’s Figures Misleading?

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During the first wave of the COVID19 epidemic, the daily number of deaths published by Public Health England (PHE) has been the main headline in the news.  On 17th July, Matt Hancock, Secretary of State for Health, called for a review of this time series after a blog published by Yoon Loke & Carl Heneghan of Oxford University questioned whether definition used by this time series was appropriate.  I myself had noticed a change in the PHEr time series in my tracker of COVID19 deaths in England but I hadn’t understood why this might have been the case.  After looking at the data again in more detail, I have concluded that this time series is overestimating the number of deaths by 42 +/- 13 per day since the 23rd May and it needs to be revised otherwise it will create confusion should a second wave come.

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COVID19 Deaths #1 – Latest Data and Trends for England

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Last updated on 25th July 2020 – future updates will be infrequent.

The latest data for deaths due to COVID19 (Coronavirus) in England as of Friday 24th July 2020 show that the first wave of the pandemic is now over when one looks as excess deaths.  People will still be dying of COVID19 for weeks yet but the overall number of excess deaths is now negative.

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Pay Gap Trends #2 – My analysis of 7 sectors for Practical Law magazine

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In April, I was asked to analyse the trends in UK gender pay gaps over the 3 years of mandatory reporting from 2017 to 2019 for Practical Law.  They were interested in 7 customised sectors and the links to these can be found in this post.

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UK Weather Trends #13 – Spring 2020

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The UK experienced its sunniest spring on record in 2020 by a huge margin.  Both April and May were the sunniest on record and together they resulted in an average of 6.5 hours of sunshine per day compared to the normal 4.5 hours per day.

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Pay Gap Data #3 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2019?

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This post was updated on 3rd June 2020 with the latest data

Update 5/4/20 –  On 24th March, the government suspended enforcement of the deadline for reporting 2019 gender pay gaps due to the coronavirus outbreak.  As of now, Only 40% of employers have reported their 2019 data.  Employers are still required to report 2019 data but will not be punished for being late in doing so.

The government requires all organisations employing 250 or more employees to submit gender pay gap data.  All data is available to the public and can be found on the government’s gender pay gap website.  I have downloaded this data and created a spreadsheet tool to present the data in a more user-friendly and visual format.

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