• Blog home
  • Elections
  • Polling
  • Sport
  • Weather
  • Forecasting
  • Diversity
  • Stats Training
  • Misc
  • Archive
  • Twitter
  • Back to Marriott Statistical Consulting

Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

You are here: Home / Archives for SNP

UK General Elections #6 – Keir Starmer’s train to Downing Street

March 21, 2021 By Nigel Marriott

Keir Starmer has to match what Clement Attlee did in 1945 and beat what Tony Blair did in 1997 if he wants to form a Labour government at the next election.  To arrive at Downing Street by the end of 2024, Starmer must get his party to board an InterCity 125 train and spend the next 3 years following the tracks I lay out in this article.  As I will show, whichever track they take has to go through 125 English Conservative seats, most of which are in between cities.  Hence InterCity 125 becomes the easy to remember name of Labour’s list of target seats.

[Read more…] about UK General Elections #6 – Keir Starmer’s train to Downing Street

Filed Under: Elections, Forecasting Tagged With: Boundary review, Brexit, Conservative, elections, EU Referendum, General Election 2024, Labour, Lib Dems, Majority, Parliament, Politics, SNP, Swing, Tories

Search this site

More blogs

Pay Gap Trends #9 – Employer Gender Pay Gaps in 2025 – The Numbers

The deadline for employers to submit their 2025 gender pay gap data has now passed.  So what do the … [Read More...] about Pay Gap Trends #9 – Employer Gender Pay Gaps in 2025 – The Numbers

Pay Gap Data #9 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2025?

The government requires nearly all employers with a headcount of 250 or more on their snapshot date … [Read More...] about Pay Gap Data #9 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2025?

UK Weather Tracker #110 – March 2026

The UK weather in March was the 10th warmest on record but otherwise unremarkable. … [Read More...] about UK Weather Tracker #110 – March 2026

UK Weather Trends #40 – Winter 2026

Winter 2026 in the UK was warmer, wetter and darker than normal but not the extent I expected given … [Read More...] about UK Weather Trends #40 – Winter 2026

UK Weather Tracker #109 – February 2026

The UK weather in February was warm, wet and dark for this time of year.  We also had the 2nd lowest … [Read More...] about UK Weather Tracker #109 – February 2026

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Join our newsletter mailing list

Receive latest news, articles and offers

Select the categories of interest:

We are GDPR compliant. Read our privacy and Cookie policy for more info.

Check your inbox or spam folder to confirm your subscription.

Copyright © 2026 ·Registered in England, Company No. 5577275, VAT No. 883304029. Registered Office: Marriott Statistical Consulting Limited. Ground Floor, Wessex House, Pixash Lane, Keynsham BS31 1TP