• Blog home
  • Elections
  • Polling
  • Sport
  • Weather
  • Forecasting
  • Diversity
  • Stats Training
  • Misc
  • Archive
  • Twitter
  • Back to Marriott Statistical Consulting

Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

You are here: Home / Archives for Tories

UK General Elections #6 – Keir Starmer’s train to Downing Street

March 21, 2021 By Nigel Marriott

Keir Starmer has to match what Clement Attlee did in 1945 and beat what Tony Blair did in 1997 if he wants to form a Labour government at the next election.  To arrive at Downing Street by the end of 2024, Starmer must get his party to board an InterCity 125 train and spend the next 3 years following the tracks I lay out in this article.  As I will show, whichever track they take has to go through 125 English Conservative seats, most of which are in between cities.  Hence InterCity 125 becomes the easy to remember name of Labour’s list of target seats.

[Read more…] about UK General Elections #6 – Keir Starmer’s train to Downing Street

Filed Under: Elections, Forecasting Tagged With: Boundary review, Brexit, Conservative, elections, EU Referendum, General Election 2024, Labour, Lib Dems, Majority, Parliament, Politics, SNP, Swing, Tories

Search this site

More blogs

UK Weather Trends #41 – Spring 2026

Spring 2026 in the UK was the 3rd hottest record with nearly all regions in England recording their … [Read More...] about UK Weather Trends #41 – Spring 2026

UK Weather Tracker #112 – May 2026

May 2026 was the 3rd warmest on record across the UK.  I have to take this on trust as I spent most … [Read More...] about UK Weather Tracker #112 – May 2026

Trophy Winners #1 – England Men’s Club Football 1889 to 2026

Arsenal won their 1st league title for 22 years, Man City won their second ever cup double and … [Read More...] about Trophy Winners #1 – England Men’s Club Football 1889 to 2026

Trophy Winners #2 – England Women’s Club Football 1992 to 2026

After 9 league titles in a row, Chelsea were finally knocked off their perch in 2025/26 by Man City … [Read More...] about Trophy Winners #2 – England Women’s Club Football 1992 to 2026

UK Weather Tracker #111 – April 2026

April 2026 was the 4th sunniest and 7th warmest on record as well as 11th widest temperature range.  … [Read More...] about UK Weather Tracker #111 – April 2026

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

Join our newsletter mailing list

Receive latest news, articles and offers

Select the categories of interest:

We are GDPR compliant. Read our privacy and Cookie policy for more info.

Check your inbox or spam folder to confirm your subscription.

Copyright © 2026 ·Registered in England, Company No. 5577275, VAT No. 883304029. Registered Office: Marriott Statistical Consulting Limited. Ground Floor, Wessex House, Pixash Lane, Keynsham BS31 1TP