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Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

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UK Weather Tracker #42 – July 2020

August 3, 2020 By Nigel Marriott

I’m obviously a biased sample point as I thought July had been a pleasant month weather wise but the latest data from the UK Met Office shows it was unremarkable on all fronts.
[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #42 – July 2020

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

UK Weather Tracker #41 – June 2020

July 2, 2020 By Nigel Marriott

After the two sunniest months on record, the UK weather returned was reassuringly normal and boring in June 2020. [Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #41 – June 2020

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

COVID19 Deaths #2G – Estimated Excess Deaths in England up to 19th June

June 21, 2020 By Nigel Marriott

In many countries across the world, the total effect of the Coronavirus pandemic is now being measured using the concept of Excess Deaths.  However, publication of such data by the Office of National Statistics for England is up to 2 weeks slower than the daily deaths published by Public Health England.  In this post, I update my model which uses the PHE series to estimate what the ONS will publish for excess deaths in England on Tuesday 23rd June.

[Read more…] about COVID19 Deaths #2G – Estimated Excess Deaths in England up to 19th June

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Coronavirus, Covid19, Forecasting model, NHS, ONS, Pandemic, PHE, SARS-COV-2, Trend extrapolation

COVID19 Deaths #2F – Estimated Excess Deaths in England up to 12th June

June 15, 2020 By Nigel Marriott

In many countries across the world, the total effect of the Coronavirus pandemic is now being measured using the concept of Excess Deaths.  However, publication of such data by the Office of National Statistics for England is up to 2 weeks slower than the daily deaths published by Public Health England.  In this post, I update my model which uses the PHE series to estimate what the ONS will publish for excess deaths in England on Tuesday 16th June.

[Read more…] about COVID19 Deaths #2F – Estimated Excess Deaths in England up to 12th June

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Coronavirus, Covid19, Forecasting model, NHS, ONS, Pandemic, PHE, SARS-COV-2, Trend extrapolation

Pay Gap Trends #3 – Did the UK gender pay gap narrow in 2019?

June 14, 2020 By Nigel Marriott

On 24th March 2020, the UK government suspended enforcement of the gender pay gap reporting deadline of 5th April.  As of today, just over 50% of employers have reported their 2019 gender pay gap figures.  Despite this shortfall, I have used statistical imputation methods to calculate that the median gender pay gap narrowed in 2019 from 9.6 pence in the pound to 9.0-9.2 pence in the pound.

[Read more…] about Pay Gap Trends #3 – Did the UK gender pay gap narrow in 2019?

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: data quality, Gender Pay Gap, imputation, missing data, trend analysis, year on year

COVID19 Deaths #2E – Estimated Excess Deaths in England up to 5th June

June 6, 2020 By Nigel Marriott

In many countries across the world, the total effect of the Coronavirus pandemic is now being measured using the concept of Excess Deaths.  However, publication of such data by the Office of National Statistics for England is up to 2 weeks slower than the daily deaths published by Public Health England.  In this post, I update my model which uses the PHE series to estimate what the ONS will publish for excess deaths in England on Tuesday 9th June.

[Read more…] about COVID19 Deaths #2E – Estimated Excess Deaths in England up to 5th June

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Coronavirus, Covid19, Forecasting model, NHS, ONS, Pandemic, PHE, SARS-COV-2, Trend extrapolation

UK Weather Trends #13 – Spring 2020

June 3, 2020 By Nigel Marriott

The UK experienced its sunniest spring on record in 2020 by a huge margin.  Both April and May were the sunniest on record and together they resulted in an average of 6.5 hours of sunshine per day compared to the normal 4.5 hours per day.

[Read more…] about UK Weather Trends #13 – Spring 2020

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: multivariate data, Presenting data, principal components analysis, standardisation, trend analysis, Weather, weather trends, z-scores

Pay Gap Data #3 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2019?

June 2, 2020 By Nigel Marriott

This post was updated on 3rd June 2020 with the latest data

Update 5/4/20 –  On 24th March, the government suspended enforcement of the deadline for reporting 2019 gender pay gaps due to the coronavirus outbreak.  As of now, Only 40% of employers have reported their 2019 data.  Employers are still required to report 2019 data but will not be punished for being late in doing so.

The government requires all organisations employing 250 or more employees to submit gender pay gap data.  All data is available to the public and can be found on the government’s gender pay gap website.  I have downloaded this data and created a spreadsheet tool to present the data in a more user-friendly and visual format.

[Read more…] about Pay Gap Data #3 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2019?

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: 2019, data quality, Gender Pay Gap, Presenting data

UK Weather Tracker #40 – May 2020

June 1, 2020 By Nigel Marriott

With the UK under unprecedented lockdown due to COVID19, the sunniest April on record was followed by the sunniest May on record.  I can hear the conspiracy theorists now …

[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #40 – May 2020

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

COVID19 Deaths #2D – Estimated Excess Deaths in England up to 29th May

June 1, 2020 By Nigel Marriott

In many countries across the world, the total effect of the Coronavirus pandemic is now being measured using the concept of Excess Deaths.  However, publication of such data by the Office of National Statistics for England is up to 2 weeks slower than the daily deaths published by Public Health England.  In this post, I update my model which uses the PHE series to estimate what the ONS will publish for excess deaths in England on Tuesday 2nd June.

[Read more…] about COVID19 Deaths #2D – Estimated Excess Deaths in England up to 29th May

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Coronavirus, Covid19, Forecasting model, NHS, ONS, Pandemic, PHE, SARS-COV-2, Trend extrapolation

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