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Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

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Coronavirus #1 – Useful Data and Links

May 14, 2020 By Nigel Marriott

Updated on 14th May 2020.  New and modified links are italicised.

The Coronavirus Pandemic is a worldwide challenge many of us will have not experienced before.  It is natural to want to seek information on the risks and in our world today, it has never been easier to find data, analyses and opinions.  Unfortunately, a lot of what you will read out there is either unhelpful or actively misleading.  As an independent statistician with 30 years experience of explaining statistics to non-statisticians, my contribution to this crisis will be to try and sort the good from the bad hence this post. [Read more…] about Coronavirus #1 – Useful Data and Links

Filed Under: Misc Tagged With: Coronavirus, Covid19, Data journalism, data quality, Epidemic, Epidemilogy, Epidemiologist, Evidence, Imperial College, Pandemic, Presenting data, SAGE, Sampling, SARS-COV-2, Testing, UK Government, Uncertainty, WHO

Coronavirus #3 – How many people have died of COVID19 in the UK?

April 24, 2020 By Nigel Marriott

The Financial Times (FT) has estimated the true number of COVID19 related deaths in the UK as of 20th April 2020 is 42,000 not 17,000 as published by the Department of Health & Social Care (DHSC).  In this article, I show that the FT headline is incorrect and is the result of either the FT comparing apples with pears due to a misunderstanding over what the various data sets measure or the FT attempting to estimate a number that can never be verified.

[Read more…] about Coronavirus #3 – How many people have died of COVID19 in the UK?

Filed Under: Misc Tagged With: Coronavirus, Covid19, Data journalism, data quality, DHSC, NHS, ONS, Pandemic, PHE, SARS-COV-2

Coronavirus #2 – What sample size does Boris need to lift all restrictions?

April 2, 2020 By Nigel Marriott

April Fools day 2020 saw the hive mind of social media asking what the sample size should be to measure the extent of the Coronavirus in the UK.  I could see that many people responding were reaching for standard methodologies which are usually are based on specifying a desired confidence interval.  In doing so, they were overlooking a much more effective and relevant alternative based on the methodology of Acceptance Sampling, first developed by the US Military in World War 2.

[Read more…] about Coronavirus #2 – What sample size does Boris need to lift all restrictions?

Filed Under: Misc, Polling Tagged With: Acceptance Sampling, Bayes rule, Binomial Distribution, Coronavirus, Covid19, Probability, Sample size, Statistical Training

Pay Gap Data #9 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2025?

April 6, 2026 By Nigel Marriott

The government requires nearly all employers with a headcount of 250 or more on their snapshot date to submit gender pay gap data.  All data is available to the public and can be found on the government’s gender pay gap website.  I have downloaded this to create a more user friendly and visually informative spreadsheet for you to download and use.

All data shown here is up to date as of 5th March 2026.  The next update is planned for May 2026.

[Read more…] about Pay Gap Data #9 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2025?

Filed Under: Diversity Tagged With: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, data quality, Gender Pay Gap, pay gap data, Presenting data

Pay Gap Data #8 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2024?

October 6, 2025 By Nigel Marriott

This post was updated on 6th October 2025.  The next update is planned for early January 2026.

The government requires nearly all employers with a headcount of 250 or more on their snapshot date to submit gender pay gap data.  All data is available to the public and can be found on the government’s gender pay gap website.  I have downloaded this data and created a spreadsheet to present the data in a more user-friendly and visual format.

[Read more…] about Pay Gap Data #8 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2024?

Filed Under: Diversity Tagged With: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, data quality, Gender Pay Gap, pay gap data, Presenting data

Stats Training Materials – Forecasting & Risk Modelling

March 1, 2025 By Nigel Marriott

All organisations want to understand what happened in the past and what will happen in the future.  The use of statistics and statistical thinking is essential to be a better forecaster but that doesn’t mean it is easy!  At the same time, we are bombarded with forecasts in the media which can make it difficult to decide which forecasts to pay attention to and which can be ignored.

My course “Identifying Trends & Making Forecasts” is all about doing the basics right when it comes to analysing trends and making predictions.  To support this course, here are links to material in the public domain covering the following themes:-

[Read more…] about Stats Training Materials – Forecasting & Risk Modelling

Filed Under: Stats Training Tagged With: forecasting, Forecasting model, Forecasts, Statistical Training, Teaching Materials, trend analysis

Pay Gap Data #7 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2023?

October 3, 2024 By Nigel Marriott

This post was updated on 2nd October 2024 with the latest data for the 2023 snapshot date.  I will continue to update each quarter with data from late reporters.

The government requires all employers with a headcount of 250 or more on their snapshot date to submit gender pay gap data.  All data is available to the public and can be found on the government’s gender pay gap website.  I have downloaded this data and created a spreadsheet to present the data in a more user-friendly and visual format.

[Read more…] about Pay Gap Data #7 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2023?

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, data quality, Gender Pay Gap, pay gap data, Presenting data

Pay Gap Data #6 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2022?

October 4, 2023 By Nigel Marriott

This post was updated on 4th October 2023 with the latest data.

The government requires all employers with a headcount of 250 or more on their snapshot date to submit gender pay gap data.  All data is available to the public and can be found on the government’s gender pay gap website.  I have downloaded this data and created a spreadsheet tool to present the data in a more user-friendly and visual format.

[Read more…] about Pay Gap Data #6 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2022?

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, data quality, Gender Pay Gap, pay gap data, Presenting data

Pay Gap Data #5 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2021?

May 1, 2022 By Nigel Marriott

This post was updated on 1st May 2022 with the latest data

The government requires all organisations employing 250 or more employees to submit gender pay gap data.  All data is available to the public and can be found on the government’s gender pay gap website.  I have downloaded this data and created a spreadsheet tool to present the data in a more user-friendly and visual format.

[Read more…] about Pay Gap Data #5 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2021?

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, data quality, Gender Pay Gap, pay gap data, Presenting data

Pay Gap Data #4 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2020?

October 10, 2021 By Nigel Marriott

This post was updated on 10th October 2021 with the latest data

The government requires all organisations employing 250 or more employees to submit gender pay gap data.  All data is available to the public and can be found on the government’s gender pay gap website.  I have downloaded this data and created a spreadsheet tool to present the data in a more user-friendly and visual format.

[Read more…] about Pay Gap Data #4 – Where can I find gender pay gap data for 2020?

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, data quality, Gender Pay Gap, pay gap data, Presenting data

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The deadline for employers to submit their 2025 gender pay gap data has now passed.  So what do the … [Read More...] about Pay Gap Trends #9 – Employer Gender Pay Gaps in 2025 – The Numbers

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