Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

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Pay Gap Trends #7 – UK Ethnicity Pay Gap 2012 to 2022

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In November 2023, the Office of National Statistics (ONS) resumed publishing estimates of the UK Ethnicity Pay Gap after a 3 year hiatus for the Covid19 pandemic.  I have organised this data into a user-friendly (hopefully!) Microsoft Excel spreadsheet which allows you to see how the median hourly pay has changed between 2012 & 2022 for a variety of ethnicities & other categories.  This article explains how you can use this spreadsheet and why you must look at ethnicity pay gap data in a different way than you would for gender pay gap data.

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Voice Referendum #2 – My Forecast Reviewed

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Australians rejected the proposed constitutional amendment known as The Voice in a referendum on 14th October 2023.  NO won the national vote by 20.1 percentage points and the state count 6-0 but the more important question is was my forecast right?

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Voice Referendum #1 – My Forecast Explained

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Australians will reject the proposed constitutional amendment known as The Voice in a referendum on 14th October 2023.  My forecast is for NO to win the national vote by 17 percentage points and win the state count 6-0.

This article was first published on 11th October 2023.  My forecast then was for NO to win 16 points and the state count 6-0.

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UK Weather Trends #27 – Summer 2023

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The hottest June on record resulted in the 8th warmest summer on record in the UK.  However, rain and sunshine levels were normal sowhen looking at the summer using principal components, the 2023 summer was above average but not outstanding.

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Pay Gap Trends #6 – Are we there yet?

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Has 6 years of mandatory gender pay gap reporting (GPGR) made a dent in the UK’s gender pay gap?  According to a recent BBC article, not one bit at all.  Unfortunately, too many people on social media have been taken in by this misleading article and I will be submitting a formal complaint to the BBC soon to get it amended.  I rebutted this at the time with this LinkedIn post and I will now expand on that here to show what the true trend is and whether or not mandatory pay gap reporting has had an impact.

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UK Weather Trends #24 – Annual Temperatures in 2022

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The 2022 calendar year was the hottest year on record in the UK beating the previous high recorded in 2014.  Does that mean that the UK is starting a new warming phase?  Using a technique known as a Control Chart, I show the answer is “Not Yet“.

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