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Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

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UK Weather Tracker #53 – June 2021

July 5, 2021 By Nigel Marriott

The weather in the UK in June 2021 was warmer than usual but otherwise unremarkable.
[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #53 – June 2021

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

Pay Gaps #22 – My 7 + 5 recommendations for amending UK pay gap legislation

June 30, 2021 By Nigel Marriott

When gender pay gap reporting was introduced by the government for the 2017 snapshot date for all employers with a headcount of 250 or more, it was made clear they would evaluate how the legislation had worked after 5 years.  We are now in the 5th year of pay gap reporting and I would like to submit to the government 7 recommendations to improve the way employers’ data is reported and 5 recommendations to improve the data used in the calculations and to reduce various distortions.

[Read more…] about Pay Gaps #22 – My 7 + 5 recommendations for amending UK pay gap legislation

Filed Under: Diversity, Featured blog Tagged With: data quality, Equality Act 2010, Ethnicity Pay Gap, Gender Pay Gap, Gender Swap Number, GEO, GPG, ONS, Pay Fingerprint, Pay Ratio, Recommendations

UK Weather Trends #17 – Spring 2021

June 6, 2021 By Nigel Marriott

Spring 2021 was colder and sunnier than usual in the UK but otherwise unremarkable.  However the 3 months of spring were anything but unremarkable.

[Read more…] about UK Weather Trends #17 – Spring 2021

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: multivariate data, Presenting data, principal components analysis, standardisation, trend analysis, Weather, weather trends, z-scores

UK Weather Tracker #52 – May 2021

June 6, 2021 By Nigel Marriott

April 2021 laid down the challenge for unusual weather in the UK and May 2o21 failed to rise to it.  It was wetter and frostier than normal and generally colder and darker than usual but not to the extent that we could say May was unusual.
[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #52 – May 2021

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

Pay Gap Case Study #5 – Why Ryanair’s pay gap report is my favourite

May 28, 2021 By Nigel Marriott

Ryanair has the largest (verified) gender pay gap of any employer in the UK, they didn’t bother to report their 2019 pay gap, they are leaving their 2020 pay gap reporting to the last minute, it’s pay gap narrative is only 1 page, they incorrectly use pie charts to represent the pay gap and they have a dodgy bar chart the Liberal Democrats would be proud of!  But apart from all that, Ryanair’s gender pay gap report is a shining example that all other employers could learn from.  Out of the hundred plus pay gap narratives I have read so far, Ryanair’s is my favourite.

 

[Read more…] about Pay Gap Case Study #5 – Why Ryanair’s pay gap report is my favourite

Filed Under: Diversity Tagged With: Dodgy Graphics, Gender Pay Gap, Gender Swap Number, Pay Gap Report, Ryanair

By Elections #3 – Hartlepool + Chesham & Amersham + Batley & Spen = Brexit Realignment?

May 24, 2021 By Nigel Marriott

The Conservatives victory in the Hartlepool by-election means the Brexit realignment of British politics is still taking place … or does it?  In fact, Labour’s defeat in Hartlepool for the first time in over 60 years should be put down to tactical voting rather than Brexit realignment, at least for now.   It will be the two upcoming by-elections in Batley & Spen on 1st July representing the Red Wall and Chesham & Amersham on 17th June 2021 representing the Blue Sea that will answer the question “Is Brexit realignment is still continuing or did it end in December 2019?”

[Read more…] about By Elections #3 – Hartlepool + Chesham & Amersham + Batley & Spen = Brexit Realignment?

Filed Under: Elections Tagged With: Batley & Spen, Blue Sea, Brexit, By-elections, Chesham & Amersham, Conservative, elections, General Election 2024, Greens, Hartlepool, Labour, Lib Dems, Politics, Realignment, Red Wall, Swing, Tactical Voting

UK Weather Tracker #51 – April 2021

May 4, 2021 By Nigel Marriott

Where do I start with the most abnormal April on record!?  Believe or not after the sunniest April on record for the UK in 2020, 2021 bear even that but it didn’t stop there.  April 2021 was also the frostiest on record by a long way, lowest ever rain intensity, 3rd highest daily temperature range and the 4th driest on record.  You’ll never top that says April 2021!
[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #51 – April 2021

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

UK Local Elections #1 – My West England Metro Mayor 2021 Election Forecast

May 2, 2021 By Nigel Marriott

It will be close but I am predicting that the Conservatives will hold onto the West England Combined Authority Metropolitan Mayoralty on 6th May 2021.  By rights, they should not be winning but the 3 parties opposing them do not seem to understand the subtleties of the Supplementary Vote (SV) that is used in this election and they will end up splitting their votes to their detriment.

[Read more…] about UK Local Elections #1 – My West England Metro Mayor 2021 Election Forecast

Filed Under: Elections, Forecasting Tagged With: B&NES, Bath, Bristol, Conservative, EU Referendum, Greens, Labour, Lib Dems, local election, Majority, Metro Mayor, South Gloucs, Supplementary Vote, WECA, West England

Pay Gaps #21 – No employer has a gender & ethnicity pay gap! Let’s celebrate!

April 19, 2021 By Nigel Marriott

It’s April 2029 and the government is trumpeting the fact that no employer in the UK has a gender pay gap or ethnicity pay gap.  All employers say that their median woman’s hourly pay is the same as the median man’s hourly pay and their median white employee’s hourly pay is the same as their median non-white employee’s hourly pay.  Would you be joining in the celebrations?

[Read more…] about Pay Gaps #21 – No employer has a gender & ethnicity pay gap! Let’s celebrate!

Filed Under: Diversity Tagged With: data quality, Ethnicity Pay Gap, Gender Pay Gap, Median, ONS, Simpsons Paradox

UK Weather Tracker #50 – March 2021

April 5, 2021 By Nigel Marriott

The meteorological year of 2021 has been extremely boring so far and March was no different.  A bit stormier than usual, enough to cause a leak in my block of flats, but otherwise unremarkable.
[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #50 – March 2021

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

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