Whilst the UK shivered under two major snow storms in March, it turns out that the whole month was unremarkable meteorologically albeit somewhat colder than normal. [Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #14 – March 2018
UK Weather Trends #4 – Winter 2018
Meteoologists define winter in the UK to be the period from December to February so winter is now over and we are officially in spring. The 2018 winter was very sunny but this hides the fact that our winter climate has changed quite notably over the last 25 years.
EPL 2017/18 #3 – My Prediction of the Final League Table – Round 30
My first published attempt to predict the outcomes of Premier League matches got off to a good start last week with 23% of my predictions getting the right scoreline and 52% getting the right outcome. I have updated my prediction of the final league which continues to point to an incredibly tight relegation battle, especially for my team Newcastle United.
[Read more…] about EPL 2017/18 #3 – My Prediction of the Final League Table – Round 30
6 Nations #11 – Who will win in 2018? – Week 4
Be careful of what you wish for! Two weeks ago, I said I was hoping for an error in my predictions based on World Rugby’s rankings and I finally got one and it was Scotland overturning my team England …
[Read more…] about 6 Nations #11 – Who will win in 2018? – Week 4
UK Weather Tracker #13 – February 2018
Last month, I expressed my cynicism at the media crying wolf over bad weather in the UK. The wolf finally appeared but in the first week of March instead so that means that February still did not see the wolf as I explain in this month’s UK Weather Tracker. [Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #13 – February 2018
6 Nations #10 – Who will win in 2018? – Week 3
After two weeks of the 2018 6 Nations, all 6 of my match predictions have been correct. Whilst this might be vindication of the World Rugby ranking model, the last thing we want in sport is a perfect prediction model otherwise what’s the point? Where would be the excitement of watching sport live? So I am hoping for an incorrect prediction soon …
[Read more…] about 6 Nations #10 – Who will win in 2018? – Week 3
6 Nations #9 – Who will win in 2018? – Week 2
The 2018 6 Nations is underway and all of my predictions for week 1 turned out to be correct (just!) with the help of an amazing drop goal drop goal by Johnny Sexton. This means that out of 37 matches I have used rankings to make predictions, 30 have been correct.
[Read more…] about 6 Nations #9 – Who will win in 2018? – Week 2
UK Weather Tracker #12 – January 2018
Every time I went online in January, I would find a headline promising an extreme cold snap in the UK which never materialised. I’ve grown tired and cynical of these headlines and given that the latest met office data shows that January 2018 was completely unremarkable, I think I am justified in this attitude! [Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #12 – January 2018
6 Nations #8 – Who will win in 2018? – Week 1
The 2018 6 Nations begins tomorrow and fans will be looking forward to a feast of rugby for the next two months. As always, pundits galore are making their predictions and the one thing we can count on is that some will have egg on their faces by the time it is over. In 2017, I used World Rugby’s Rankings to predict who would win each match in the 6 Nations and the Autumn Internationals and these predictions worked out well with 12 out of 15 6 Nations games and 15 out of the 19 Autumn International matches involving 6 Nations teams correctly called.
[Read more…] about 6 Nations #8 – Who will win in 2018? – Week 1
UK Opinion Poll Tracker #10 – January 2018
Labour continues to hold a small lead over the Conservatives at the start of 2018. Little has changed from the end of 2017.
[Read more…] about UK Opinion Poll Tracker #10 – January 2018
