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Nigel Marriott's Blog

An independent statistician using data to understand our world and to predict the future

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Pay Gaps #30 – Why Disability Confident is the Template for Mandatory Ethnicity Pay Gap Reporting

February 3, 2024 By Nigel Marriott

In July 2023, the UK government’s finally published its response to its 2018 consultation on whether #ethnicity #paygap #reporting should be made mandatory for UK employers.  A number of paragraphs from this response were quoted in an article published at the time in The Voice newspaper.

I want to go through two of those paragraphs because they highlight what is wrong with the current debate. I think the debate can be reset in a more productive direction if campaigners and the government were to focus on Action 71 of the Inclusive Britain action plan instead of Action 16.  In short, those who wish to implement mandatory ethnicity pay gap reporting should use existing Disability Confident reporting scheme as a template to build on and not copy and paste Gender Pay Gap Reporting.

[Read more…] about Pay Gaps #30 – Why Disability Confident is the Template for Mandatory Ethnicity Pay Gap Reporting

Filed Under: Diversity Tagged With: Ethnicity, Ethnicity Pay Gap, Parliament, Pay Gaps, professional guidance, UK Government

UK Weather Tracker #84 – January 2024

February 3, 2024 By Nigel Marriott

Did you enjoy the 6th sunniest January on record?  Probably not as you may have been dealing with the 9th stormiest January on record in the UK instead.
[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #84 – January 2024

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

UK Weather Trends #29 – Annual Temperatures in 2023

January 4, 2024 By Nigel Marriott

The 2023 calendar year was the 2nd hottest year on record in the UK just behind the hottest year ever in 2022.  Last year, I showed how a technique known as a Control Chart could be used to decide if the UK is now in a new warming trend and after adding 2023, my answer is now “a step change upwards has taken place but the pace of change is not yet clear“.

[Read more…] about UK Weather Trends #29 – Annual Temperatures in 2023

Filed Under: Weather Tagged With: SPC, Statistical Process Control, t-test, temperature, trend analysis, Weather, weather trends

UK Weather Tracker #83 – December 2023

January 4, 2024 By Nigel Marriott

The 2024 meteorological year began with a warm, wet, dark & stormy December that combine to create the 4th most abnormal December on record.
[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #83 – December 2023

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

Pay Gap Trends #7 – UK Ethnicity Pay Gap 2012 to 2022

January 3, 2024 By Nigel Marriott

In November 2023, the Office of National Statistics (ONS) resumed publishing estimates of the UK Ethnicity Pay Gap after a 3 year hiatus for the Covid19 pandemic.  I have organised this data into a user-friendly (hopefully!) Microsoft Excel spreadsheet which allows you to see how the median hourly pay has changed between 2012 & 2022 for a variety of ethnicities & other categories.  This article explains how you can use this spreadsheet and why you must look at ethnicity pay gap data in a different way than you would for gender pay gap data.

[Read more…] about Pay Gap Trends #7 – UK Ethnicity Pay Gap 2012 to 2022

Filed Under: Diversity, Forecasting Tagged With: Annual Population Survey, Confidence Intervals, Ethnicity, Ethnicity Pay Gap, intersectional, Median, moving average, ONS, pay gap trends, trend analysis

UK Weather Trends #28 – Autumn 2023

December 4, 2023 By Nigel Marriott

The UK autumn in 2023 was the 6th warmest on record and consistent with the step change in autumnal climate seen 25 years ago.

[Read more…] about UK Weather Trends #28 – Autumn 2023

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: multivariate data, Presenting data, principal components analysis, standardisation, trend analysis, Weather, weather trends, z-scores

UK Weather Tracker #82 – November 2023

December 4, 2023 By Nigel Marriott

It might have ended with a cold snap but on every metric, November 2023 in the UK was as average as it was possible to be!
[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #82 – November 2023

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

Voice Referendum #2 – My Forecast Reviewed

November 5, 2023 By Nigel Marriott

Australians rejected the proposed constitutional amendment known as The Voice in a referendum on 14th October 2023.  NO won the national vote by 20.1 percentage points and the state count 6-0 but the more important question is was my forecast right?

[Read more…] about Voice Referendum #2 – My Forecast Reviewed

Filed Under: Elections, Forecasting Tagged With: Australia, Brexit, Election forecasting, Forecasting model, Parliament, Politics, Referendum, trend analysis, Trend extrapolation, Voice

UK Weather Tracker #81 – October 2023

November 4, 2023 By Nigel Marriott

October 2023 was the 2nd stormiest on record in the UK, behind 1945, as measured by my Rain Intensity measure.  It was also the 6th wettest.
[Read more…] about UK Weather Tracker #81 – October 2023

Filed Under: Archive Tagged With: Index, Presenting data, Weather, Weather Tracker

Voice Referendum #1 – My Forecast Explained

October 13, 2023 By Nigel Marriott

Australians will reject the proposed constitutional amendment known as The Voice in a referendum on 14th October 2023.  My forecast is for NO to win the national vote by 17 percentage points and win the state count 6-0.

This article was first published on 11th October 2023.  My forecast then was for NO to win 16 points and the state count 6-0.

[Read more…] about Voice Referendum #1 – My Forecast Explained

Filed Under: Elections, Forecasting, Polling Tagged With: Australia, Brexit, Election forecasting, Forecasting model, Parliament, Politics, Referendum, trend analysis, Trend extrapolation, Voice

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