Today, the UK votes in its 3rd general election in less than 5 years. After serious polling errors in the last 3 general elections, it is understandable that everyone is taking the latest figures with a lot of salt. As it stands today, the polls are telling us that the Conservatives recovered their 2017 standing but Labour are still behind their 2017 performance.
UK Weather Trends #11 – Autumn 2019
The UK experienced unremarkable weather in all respects in Autumn 2019.
UK Opinion Poll Tracker #16 – December 2019
Next Thursday, the UK will vote in its 3rd general election in less than 5 years. After serious polling errors in the last 3 general elections, it is understandable that everyone is taking the latest figures with a lot of salt. As it stands today, the polls are telling us that the Conservatives have more or less recovered their 2017 standing but Labour are still behind their 2017 performance.
[Read more…] about UK Opinion Poll Tracker #16 – December 2019
UK Weather Tracker #34 – November 2019
The weather in the UK for November 2019 was completely unremarkable in all respects. It would be nice to have something unusual to report for a change!
UK Opinion Poll Tracker #15 – November 2019
In two weeks time, the UK will vote in its 3rd general election in less than 5 years. After serious polling errors in the last 3 general elections, it is understandable that everyone is taking the latest figures with a lot of salt. As it stands today, the polls are telling us that the Conservatives have more or less recovered their 2017 standing but Labour is still a long way from repeating their 2017 performance.
[Read more…] about UK Opinion Poll Tracker #15 – November 2019
UK Economy Tracker #6 – 2019 Q3
The mixed picture for the UK economy continued in Q3. GDP growth is now at its lowest level since the 2008/9 recession but unemployment and inflation continues to be good. The low level of growth though continues to be a drag on government finances.
Pay Gaps #12 – Unequal Pay & Gender Pay Gaps are not the same thing!
The 14th November 2019 is being incorrectly marked as Equal Pay Day in the UK by the Fawcett Society. By having a campaign name that conflates equal pay issues with the gender pay gap, the Fawcett Society runs the risk of misleading men and women in the UK in their understanding of what these two concepts mean.
If you care about statistics being used correctly then please lobby the Fawcett Society to rename this as Gender Pay Gap day instead.
If you care about issues to do with Equal Pay, then please support the #MeTooPay campaign instead. This is a new campaign, led by Dame Moya Greene, who are explicit about the distinction and are saying, quite rightly, that with the 50th anniversary of the Equal Pay Act taking place next year, cases of unequal pay should not be happening in this day and age.
[Read more…] about Pay Gaps #12 – Unequal Pay & Gender Pay Gaps are not the same thing!
UK Weather Tracker #33 – October 2019
The weather in the UK for October 2019 was completely unremarkable in all respects. It would be nice to have something unusual to report for a change!
Rugby World Cup #4 – Who will win in 2019? – Final
England will take on South Africa in the 2019 Rugby World Cup final this weekend and I am predicting a win for England by 1 to 6 points. In other words, it will be close and exciting!
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Rugby World Cup #3 – Who will win in 2019? – Model Evaluation
After 43 matches with 37 correctly predicted, the stage is set for an epic final between England & South Africa to settle the 2019 Rugby World Cup (Men’s). Ahead of making a prediction for that match, I have examined my model in depth and in this post I explore whether or not the model needs to be adjusted.
[Read more…] about Rugby World Cup #3 – Who will win in 2019? – Model Evaluation
